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Athletic Bilbao W vs Sevilla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao W host Sevilla W in the Liga F Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Athletic Bilbao W at 1.27 goals for, 1.4 against; Sevilla W at 1.14 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Athletic Bilbao W have won 2 to Sevilla W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.06) back Athletic Bilbao W to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Athletic Bilbao W
30%
Draws
23%
Sevilla W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sevilla W haven't matched Athletic Bilbao W's recent run of results.
  • Athletic Bilbao W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 20%
Sevilla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Sevilla W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Athletic Bilbao W
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Sevilla W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Sevilla W
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:5
Jun 16, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Sevilla W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 42 / 100
Sevilla W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Sevilla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Athletic Bilbao W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sevilla W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Athletic Bilbao W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao W VS Sevilla W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao W

(Home)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 6

Sevilla W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sevilla W
3 : 3
Badalona W
27 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 1
Eibar W
20 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 : 3
Sevilla W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)