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Athletic Bilbao W vs Valencia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao W host Valencia W in the Liga F Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Valencia W have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Athletic Bilbao W have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Athletic Bilbao W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.00, favoring Athletic Bilbao W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Athletic Bilbao W
20%
Draws
0%
Valencia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Valencia W haven't matched Athletic Bilbao W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Athletic Bilbao W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Valencia W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Liga F Women
Valencia W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Valencia W
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Valencia W
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Liga F Women
Valencia W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Valencia W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 95 / 100
Valencia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Valencia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Athletic Bilbao W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Valencia W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao W VS Valencia W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao W

(Home)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 7

Valencia W

(Away)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)