Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Club Boise vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Yaro J.
Assist: Barea J.
20'
MIller N.
21'
MIller N.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and Greenville Triumph finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Athletic Club Boise
20%
Draws
0%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Greenville Triumph haven't matched Athletic Club Boise's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Athletic Club Boise a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.68 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Jul 29, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Athletic Club Boise
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Greenville Triumph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Greenville Triumph conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: Greenville Triumph registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS Greenville Triumph
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7

Greenville Triumph

(Away)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)