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Athletic Club vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Luiz Henrique
46'
Sub
Oliveira dos Santos J. V. In: Daniel Penha
Out: Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
46'
Sub
Luiz Henrique In: Paulo Vitor
Out: Luiz Henrique

AI Match Summary

Athletic Club in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Athletic Club
22%
Draws
18%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Athletic Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avai lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club.
  • Win probability leans Athletic Club's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Athletic Club here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Avai
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 9 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Avai
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Athletic Club
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Avai
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 68 / 100
Avai 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Avai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Avai has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Athletic Club has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS Avai
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
4Operario-PR1794422:1831
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12CRB1865728:3223
13Athletic Club1758416:1623
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG18151212:298