Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Avai
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
12'
12'
Luiz Henrique
46'
46'
Sub
Oliveira dos Santos J. V. In: Daniel Penha
Out: Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
46'
46'
Sub
Luiz Henrique In: Paulo Vitor
Out: Luiz Henrique
AI Match Summary
Athletic Club in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Avai lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club.
- Win probability leans Athletic Club's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Athletic Club here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Avai
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Athletic Club
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Avai
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Avai Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 68 / 100
Avai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Avai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Avai has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Athletic Club has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Avai
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
Page 1 of 3
Avai
(Away) 27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0 Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0 Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 53 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31:27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21:50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17:64 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
