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Athletic Club vs CRB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Zeca In: Diogo Batista
Out: Zeca
33' Event
Dada Belmonte
Assist: Crystopher Ribeiro
46'
Sub
Carlinhos In: Aponza W.
Out: Carlinhos

AI Match Summary

CRB in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Athletic Club
20%
Draws
51%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CRB have won more games recently than Athletic Club.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CRB here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 14%
CRB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club CRB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs CRB
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Athletic Club
2:3
Aug 12, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs Athletic Club
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs CRB
1:2
Mar 12, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
CRB vs Athletic Club
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Dada Belmonte
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 35 / 100
CRB 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Athletic Club scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

CRB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Athletic Club stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS CRB
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club

(Home)
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2
Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
07 Oct
CRB
3 : 1
Atletico GO
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)