Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Sport Recife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
14'
14'
Neto Pessoa
Assist: Juan Alano
20'
20'
Sub
Marlon Douglas In: de Pena C.
Out: Marlon Douglas
24'
24'
Kauan Rodrigues
Assist: Yago Santos
AI Match Summary
Sport Recife in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sport Recife lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club.
- Athletic Club are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 15%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Sport Recife
1:2
Jun 11, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan Rodrigues
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Neto Pessoa
1 Goals Assists Leader de Pena C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 35 / 100
Sport Recife 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Sport Recife
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sport Recife conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Athletic Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Sport Recife
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
Page 1 of 3
Sport Recife
(Away) 01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
