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Athletic Club vs URT Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
25'
Freitas P.
30'
Sub
Jhonatan Silva In: Edson Miranda
Out: Jhonatan Silva

AI Match Summary

URT in this Mineiro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Athletic Club
20%
Draws
44%
URT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to URT lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Athletic Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors URT here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
URT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club URT
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Mineiro
Athletic Club vs URT
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Mineiro
Athletic Club vs URT
4:0
May 1, 2021 Mineiro
URT vs Athletic Club
2:1
Apr 7, 2021 Mineiro
Athletic Club vs URT
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 51 / 100
URT 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Athletic Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: URT registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club

(Home)
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2
Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 8 3 5 0 16:8 14
2 URT 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
3 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
4 Democrata GV 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
2 Pouso Alegre 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
3 Tombense 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Betim FC 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 5 0 3 14:7 15
2 North Esporte Clube 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
3 Itabirito 8 2 1 5 10:17 7
4 Athletic Club 8 1 4 3 7:13 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)