Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Vila Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
19'
19'
Yago Santos
Assist: Kauan Rodrigues
32'
32'
Andre Luis
39'
39'
Nathan Camargo
AI Match Summary
Athletic Club in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Athletic Club haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Vila Nova FC's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 16%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Vila Nova FC
5:0
May 4, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Athletic Club
1:1
Sep 9, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Athletic Club
1:1
May 7, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Yago Santos
1 Goals Assists Leader Carlinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vila Nova FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 15 / 100
Vila Nova FC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Vila Nova FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Athletic Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Vila Nova FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
Page 1 of 3
Vila Nova FC
(Away) 11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
