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Athletic Palermo vs A.C. Savoia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Umbaca F.
39' Event
Munoz D.
66' Event
Micoli N.

AI Match Summary

A.C. Savoia in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C. Savoia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Athletic Palermo
35%
Draws
22%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A.C. Savoia lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Palermo.
  • Model gives Athletic Palermo a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 17%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Palermo A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs A.C. Savoia
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Athletic Palermo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Micoli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbaca F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Palermo 66 / 100
A.C. Savoia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Palermo A.C. Savoia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Athletic Palermo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

A.C. Savoia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Athletic Palermo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Palermo VS A.C. Savoia
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Palermo

(Home)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

A.C. Savoia

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)