Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Mirassol

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR play Mirassol in the Serie A Betano. Athletico-PR are favorites here. Recently, Athletico-PR averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Mirassol averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Athletico-PR won 1, Mirassol won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Athletico-PR and 1.00 for Mirassol. This points to a Athletico-PR double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Athletico-PR
25%
Draws
15%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletico-PR picked up more points recently compared to Mirassol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 23%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Mirassol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Mirassol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 59 / 100
Mirassol 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Mirassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Athletico-PR & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletico-PR attacking → ← attacking Mirassol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Mirassol let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mirassol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339