Sport Picks
Athletico-PR vs Fluminense
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 
Match Events
35'
35'
Leozinho
Assist: Mendoza S.
38'
38'
Hulk
45'
45'
PH Ganso
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Fluminense finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Athletico-PR have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Fluminense are scoring more at 1.5.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 23%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletico-PR | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Fluminense
3:3
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR
3:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Fluminense
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Fluminense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Leozinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Benavidez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Fluminense Compare
Top Goalscorer Hulk
1 Goals Assists Leader Canobbio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletico-PR 33 / 100
Fluminense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletico-PR Fluminense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fluminense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Fluminense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Athletico-PR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Athletico-PR scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletico-PR VS Fluminense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletico-PR
(Home) 12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Bragantino
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Bragantino
04 Aug
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Vitoria
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Internacional
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
Page 1 of 3
Fluminense
(Away) 15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1 Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0 Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0 Vasco
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1 Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 Fluminense
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
18 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2 Fluminense
09 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Fluminense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:43 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
