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Athletico-PR vs Galo Maringa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Athletico-PR Logo

Athletico-PR

4 - 1
FT
Galo Maringa Logo

Galo Maringa

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Chiqueti
43' Event
Cruz J.
48' Event
Chiqueti
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR in this Paranaense matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletico-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Athletico-PR
20%
Draws
0%
Galo Maringa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletico-PR lately — more wins on the board than Galo Maringa.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Athletico-PR taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Athletico-PR have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Galo Maringa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Galo Maringa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Galo Maringa
4:1
Jan 27, 2024 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Galo Maringa
2:1
Jan 18, 2023 Paranaense
Galo Maringa vs Athletico-PR
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiqueti
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cruz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Galo Maringa Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriky
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 95 / 100
Galo Maringa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Galo Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Difficult form: Galo Maringa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Galo Maringa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
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Galo Maringa

(Away)
07 Feb
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
01 Feb
Galo Maringa
0 : 5
Maringa FC
24 Jan
Athletico-PR
4 : 1
Galo Maringa
20 Jan
Galo Maringa
1 : 4
Maringa FC
17 Jan
Londrina
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Londrina 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Foz do Iguacu 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Athletico-PR 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
4 Sao Joseense 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
5 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
6 FC Cascavel 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azuriz 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
2 Coritiba 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Cianorte 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
4 Operario-PR 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
5 Clube Andraus Brasil 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
6 Galo Maringa 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)