Sport Picks

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Athletico-PR W vs Sport Recife W

South America South America

Brasil Ladies Cup Women 2024 Estadio Dr. Oswaldo Teixeira Duarte (Caninde)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR W play Sport Recife W in the Brasil Ladies Cup Women 2024. Athletico-PR W are favorites here. Recently, Athletico-PR W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Sport Recife W averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Athletico-PR W won 2, Sport Recife W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 20, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Athletico-PR W and 1.00 for Sport Recife W. This points to a Athletico-PR W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Athletico-PR W
25%
Draws
15%
Sport Recife W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Athletico-PR W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletico-PR W picked up more points recently compared to Sport Recife W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Athletico-PR W Clean Sheet 23%
Sport Recife W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR W Sport Recife W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.7 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
Athletico-PR W vs Sport Recife W
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Athletico-PR W
3:1
Jun 29, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Athletico-PR W vs Sport Recife W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juju
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaielly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sport Recife W Compare

Avg xG / game 4.44
Avg xA / game 2.71

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR W 59 / 100
Sport Recife W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR W Sport Recife W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Athletico-PR W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletico-PR W attacking → ← attacking Sport Recife W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Sport Recife W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Athletico-PR W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sport Recife W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 4.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia W32104:27
2Paraguay W32015:26
3UNAM Pumas W31116:64
4Avai Kindermann W30033:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio W32106:07
2Athletico-PR W31114:64
3Sport Recife W30211:22
4River Plate W30212:52