Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athlone vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athlone host Longford in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Athlone have averaged 0.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Longford's 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Longford slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Longford. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Athlone
39%
Draws
31%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Athlone Clean Sheet 16%
Longford Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Longford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
3:2
Apr 21, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 30 / 100
Longford 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Longford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Athlone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Longford
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822