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Athlone vs Bray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mustali E.
34' Event
Smith W.
41'
O'Connor E.

AI Match Summary

Athlone in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athlone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Athlone
30%
Draws
39%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bray lately — more wins on the board than Athlone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Athlone Clean Sheet 15%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Bray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.28 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grogan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustali E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 30 / 100
Bray 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bray's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Athlone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Bray
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
09 Oct
Bray
2 : 2
Wexford
02 Oct
Bray
1 : 4
Cobh Ramblers
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)