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Athlone vs Kerry Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Athlone Logo

Athlone

3 - 0
FT
Kerry Logo

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Brennan S.
46'
Sub
Healy C. In: Palmer L.
Out: Healy C.
50'
Hakkinen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Athlone and Kerry finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athlone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Athlone
20%
Draws
36%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kerry come out ahead of Athlone on wins alone.
  • Model gives Athlone a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Athlone Clean Sheet 68%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Kerry
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Kerry
3:0
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Athlone
1:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Kerry
0:0
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Athlone
0:1
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Kerry
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Brennan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleary C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kerry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 95 / 100
Kerry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Athlone scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Kerry let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Kerry
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)