Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athlone vs Liffey Wanderers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2015 Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
O'Connor S.
20' Event
Coughlan G.
28'

AI Match Summary

Athlone in this FAI Cup 2015 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Athlone
20%
Draws
19%
Liffey Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Liffey Wanderers.
  • Model gives Athlone a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Athlone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Athlone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Athlone Clean Sheet 20%
Liffey Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Liffey Wanderers
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2015 FAI Cup
Athlone vs Liffey Wanderers
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Connor S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Liffey Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 85 / 100
Liffey Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Liffey Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liffey Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Athlone remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Athlone scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Liffey Wanderers

(Away)
16 May
Liffey Wanderers
1 : 2
Ringmahon Rangers
18 May
Salthill
2 : 1
Liffey Wanderers
25 Mar
Liffey Wanderers
3 : 2
Wayside Celtic
26 Sept
Kilnamanagh
3 : 3
Liffey Wanderers
25 Jul
Liffey Wanderers
0 : 2
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1