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Athlone vs Treaty United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Byrne M.
25'
Lynch R.
69'
Sub
Whelan C. In: Oyenuga J.
Out: Whelan C.

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Athlone
20%
Draws
42%
Treaty United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Treaty United.
  • Win probability leans Athlone's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Treaty United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Athlone Clean Sheet 20%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Treaty United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
1:2
Jul 24, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
2:1
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer McManus B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrne M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Feeney B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 67 / 100
Treaty United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Treaty United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Treaty United let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Athlone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Treaty United
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Treaty United

(Away)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)