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Athlone W vs Waterford W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gornell A.
9' Event
Strickland A.
Penalty Missed
36' Event
Strickland A.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Athlone W and Waterford W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athlone W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Athlone W
15%
Draws
32%
Waterford W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athlone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athlone W come out ahead of Waterford W on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Athlone W taking it.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Athlone W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Athlone W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterford W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone W Waterford W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League Women
Athlone W vs Waterford W
3:1
May 2, 2026 National League Women
Waterford W vs Athlone W
2:4
Sep 3, 2025 National League Women
Waterford W vs Athlone W
0:2
Jun 7, 2025 All-Island Cup Women
Waterford W vs Athlone W
0:4
May 10, 2025 National League Women
Athlone W vs Waterford W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Strickland A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ryan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Waterford W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gornell A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone W 85 / 100
Waterford W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone W Waterford W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone W's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Waterford W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Athlone W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athlone W VS Waterford W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone W

(Home)
03 Oct
Athlone W
0 : 0
Galway United W
27 Sept
Athlone W
1 : 3
Shelbourne W
19 Sept
DLR Waves W
0 : 3
Athlone W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Athlone W
3 : 1
Waterford W
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Waterford W

(Away)
03 Oct
Waterford W
0 : 4
Shelbourne W
19 Sept
Cork City W
1 : 2
Waterford W
12 Sept
Waterford W
1 : 2
DLR Waves W
05 Sept
Athlone W
3 : 1
Waterford W
29 Aug
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 2
Waterford W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)