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ATK vs Chennaiyin FC

India India

ISL 2019/2020 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ATK play Chennaiyin FC in the ISL 2019/2020. ATK are favorites here. Recently, ATK averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Chennaiyin FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, ATK won 3, Chennaiyin FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for ATK and 0.93 for Chennaiyin FC. This points to a ATK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
ATK
15%
Draws
25%
Chennaiyin FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ATK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • ATK picked up more points recently compared to Chennaiyin FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
ATK Clean Sheet 24%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATK Chennaiyin FC
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.82 1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 ISL
ATK vs Chennaiyin FC
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 ISL
ATK vs Chennaiyin FC
1:3
Oct 30, 2019 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs ATK
0:1
Apr 10, 2019 Super Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs ATK
2:0
Dec 2, 2018 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs ATK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ATK Compare

Top Goalscorer Javi H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Valskis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATK 59 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATK Chennaiyin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATK Win (1)
Secondary Pick ATK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ATK attacking → ← attacking Chennaiyin FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ATK scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Chennaiyin FC let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

ATK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chennaiyin FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13