Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Voncina D.
76' Event
Iuliano F.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Lodigiani in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Lodigiani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Atl. Lodigiani
30%
Draws
62%
Albalonga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albalonga lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Lodigiani.
  • Win probability leans Albalonga's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Albalonga have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 16%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Albalonga
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Atl. Lodigiani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Voncina D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iuliano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Albalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 11 / 100
Albalonga 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Albalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albalonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albalonga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Lodigiani's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atl. Lodigiani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Albalonga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
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Albalonga

(Away)
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1
Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)