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Atl. Lodigiani vs Monastir

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Botta M.
45' Event
Botta M.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Lodigiani in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Lodigiani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atl. Lodigiani
35%
Draws
45%
Monastir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Monastir have won more games recently than Atl. Lodigiani.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 21%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Monastir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Monastir
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Atl. Lodigiani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Botta M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Monastir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 37 / 100
Monastir 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Monastir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Lodigiani scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Monastir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Atl. Lodigiani went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Monastir
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Monastir

(Away)
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3
Flaminia
02 May
Palmese 1914
0 : 2
Monastir
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0
Nocerina
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)