Sport Picks
Atl. Lodigiani vs Sarnese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 
Match Events
60'
60'
Maggio D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G game between Atl. Lodigiani and Sarnese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarnese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarnese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atl. Lodigiani haven't matched Sarnese's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sarnese's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Sarnese have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 10%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Lodigiani | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Sarnese
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Sarnese
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Atl. Lodigiani
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Lodigiani Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sarnese Compare
Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Lodigiani 10 / 100
Sarnese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Lodigiani Sarnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarnese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Lodigiani scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Sarnese has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Lodigiani VS Sarnese
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Lodigiani
(Home) 17 Oct
Afragolese
4 : 0 Atl. Lodigiani
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1 Sarnese
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0 Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1 Sarnese
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Trastevere Calcio
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2 Latte Dolce
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2 Real Monterotondo
Page 1 of 3
Sarnese
(Away) 18 Oct
Sarnese
1 : 0 Citta di Anagni
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1 Sarnese
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1 Paganese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2 Sarnese
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1 Sarnese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2 Sarnese
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1 Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Monastir | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:13 | 16 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Trastevere Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Citta di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 14 | US Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Budoni Calcio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 17 | Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Atl. Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)
