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Atl. Lodigiani vs US Venafro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Lodigiani host US Venafro in the Serie D - Group G. This one's hard to separate. Atl. Lodigiani have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against US Venafro's 0.75 scored and 1.38 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.44) point toward Atl. Lodigiani. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atl. Lodigiani
15%
Draws
85%
US Venafro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Venafro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Lodigiani lately — more wins on the board than US Venafro.
  • Model gives US Venafro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 16%
US Venafro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani US Venafro
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.24 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 23 / 100
US Venafro 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani US Venafro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Venafro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Lodigiani's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

US Venafro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Difficult form: US Venafro registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS US Venafro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
17 Oct
Afragolese
4 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1
Sarnese
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

US Venafro

(Away)
18 Oct
US Venafro
1 : 0
Paganese
11 Oct
Ossese
1 : 1
US Venafro
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3
Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)