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Atl. Madrid B vs Alcorcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B host Alcorcon in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Alcorcon have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Atl. Madrid B have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Atl. Madrid B have won 3 to Alcorcon's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Atl. Madrid B to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Atl. Madrid B
30%
Draws
58%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcorcon have won more games recently than Atl. Madrid B.
  • Alcorcon are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 11%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Alcorcon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Alcorcon
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Atl. Madrid B
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Atl. Madrid B vs Alcorcon
2:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Alcorcon
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Atl. Madrid B
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 10 / 100
Alcorcon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Alcorcon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atl. Madrid B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Alcorcon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
18 Oct
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
11 Oct
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 4
Zaragoza
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon

(Away)
16 Oct
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Huesca
10 Oct
Teruel
1 : 0
Alcorcon
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Zaragoza 8 5 2 1 16:10 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)