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Atl. Madrid B vs FC Cartagena SAD

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Puric A.
40'
Baz I.
46'
Sub
Perovic M. In: Barboza M.
Out: Perovic M.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atl. Madrid B
20%
Draws
38%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid B lately — more wins on the board than FC Cartagena SAD.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Madrid B's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Cartagena SAD here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 13%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs FC Cartagena SAD
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Atl. Madrid B
3:2
Jan 18, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Atl. Madrid B
1:0
Sep 7, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 40 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Cartagena SAD let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS FC Cartagena SAD
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
23 May
Atl. Madrid B
3 : 1
Algeciras
16 May
Eldense
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
08 May
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 3
Sabadell
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FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
23 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 2
Betis B
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
01 May
Algeciras
2 : 2
FC Cartagena SAD
26 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)