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Atl. Madrid B vs Villarreal B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gaitan J.
Assist: Barattucci N.
27'
Yaakobishvili A.
45'
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal B in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atl. Madrid B
30%
Draws
37%
Villarreal B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarreal B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid B haven't matched Villarreal B's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 12%
Villarreal B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Villarreal B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Villarreal B
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Villarreal B
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Villarreal B vs Atl. Madrid B
1:3
Feb 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Villarreal B
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Villarreal B vs Atl. Madrid B
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Villarreal B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaitan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 35 / 100
Villarreal B 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Villarreal B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid B scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Villarreal B conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Atl. Madrid B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Villarreal B
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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Villarreal B

(Away)
10 Oct
Jaen
3 : 3
Villarreal B
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 2
Antequera
13 Sept
Huesca
0 : 3
Villarreal B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)