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Atl. Madrid B W vs Athletic Bilbao B W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Reyes
20' Event
Artero M.
63' Event
Malen T.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2023/2024 game between Atl. Madrid B W and Athletic Bilbao B W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid B W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atl. Madrid B W
20%
Draws
38%
Athletic Bilbao B W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid B W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid B W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B W Athletic Bilbao B W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
3:2
Dec 17, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Athletic Bilbao B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Segunda Division Women
Athletic Bilbao B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
4:0
Dec 4, 2021 Segunda Division Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Athletic Bilbao B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Artero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B W 42 / 100
Athletic Bilbao B W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B W Athletic Bilbao B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atl. Madrid B W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Athletic Bilbao B W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Atl. Madrid B W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B W VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B W

(Home)
02 May
Tenerife B W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid B W
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid B W
0 : 2
Cacereno W
05 Apr
Valencia W
4 : 1
Atl. Madrid B W
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
1 : 1
CE Europa W
22 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
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Athletic Bilbao B W

(Away)
27 Apr
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 2
Barcelona B W
21 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
13 Apr
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 1
Dep. A Coruna W
30 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
3 : 2
Athletic Bilbao B W
24 Mar
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 0
Alhama W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184455:1758
2Dep. A Coruna W26168243:2356
3Espanyol W26146641:2348
4CA Osasuna W26128640:2844
5Alhama W26127734:2743
6SE AEM W26119622:1542
7Logrono Dux W261131231:3036
8Albacete W2689932:3533
9Alaves W26881029:2732
10Atl. Madrid B W26871132:3231
11Cacereno W26851328:4129
12CE Europa W26631724:5421
13Athletic Bilbao B W26381518:3817
14Madrid CFF B W26332016:5512
Promotion - Liga F Women 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)