Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid C vs CD Mostoles
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Sanchez A.
63'
63'
Vinatea S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid C lately — more wins on the board than CD Mostoles.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 21%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid C | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.46 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs CD Mostoles
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Atl. Madrid C
2:3
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs CD Mostoles
1:0
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Atl. Madrid C
1:1
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Atl. Madrid C
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid C Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid C 32 / 100
CD Mostoles 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid C CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid C's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Atl. Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid C VS CD Mostoles
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid C
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0 Union Adarve
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 3 Galapagar
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
29 Mar
Parla
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
