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Atl. Madrid C vs Gimnastica Segoviana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid C host Gimnastica Segoviana in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Atl. Madrid C have averaged 2.29 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Gimnastica Segoviana's 1.14 scored and 1.41 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.07 xG vs 0.85) point toward Atl. Madrid C. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
31%
Gimnastica Segoviana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid C a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 58 / 100
Gimnastica Segoviana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Gimnastica Segoviana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid C scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Gimnastica Segoviana let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid C remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Gimnastica Segoviana has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Gimnastica Segoviana
1.14 Goals Scored 1
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastica Segoviana

(Away)
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
14 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)