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Atl. Madrid U19 vs Bayern U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid U19 host Bayern U19 in the UEFA Youth League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bayern U19 have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Atl. Madrid U19 have conceded 1.34 and scored 2.26. Past meetings favor Bayern U19 slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2016, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.06, favoring Atl. Madrid U19. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atl. Madrid U19
20%
Draws
33%
Bayern U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bayern U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Atl. Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid U19 Bayern U19
Matches Played 35 46
Wins 20 24
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.26 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Bayern U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
1:1
Sep 28, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Atl. Madrid U19 vs Bayern U19
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid U19 30 / 100
Bayern U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid U19 Bayern U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid U19 scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Bayern U19 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 46 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atl. Madrid U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid U19 VS Bayern U19
2.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid U19

(Home)
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart U19
2 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
13 Oct
Atl. Madrid U19
3 : 0
Manchester United U19
09 Sept
Liverpool U19
2 : 2
Atl. Madrid U19
17 Mar
Atl. Madrid U19
0 : 4
Club Brugge U19
25 Feb
Atl. Madrid U19
2 : 1
Maccabi Haifa U19
Page 1 of 7

Bayern U19

(Away)
25 Oct
Bayern U19
8 : 1
Freiberg U19
21 Oct
Bayern U19
3 : 3
Arsenal U19
17 Oct
Unterhaching U19
3 : 2
Bayern U19
13 Oct
Viking U19
2 : 0
Bayern U19
10 Oct
Bayern U19
6 : 1
Regensburg U19
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Slavia Prague U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
3 Feyenoord U19 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
4 PSG U19 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
5 Villarreal U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
6 Atl. Madrid U19 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
7 Club Brugge U19 3 2 1 0 10:6 7
8 Lille U19 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
9 Dortmund U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
10 AS Roma U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
11 PSV U19 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
12 FC Porto U19 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
13 Viking U19 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
14 Liverpool U19 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
15 AEK U19 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
16 Bayern U19 3 1 1 1 9:6 4
17 Betis U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
18 Arsenal U19 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
19 Sporting CP U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
20 Barcelona U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
21 Como U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
22 Inter U19 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
23 VfB Stuttgart U19 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
24 Manchester United U19 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
25 Lens U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
26 Aston Villa U19 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
27 Napoli U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
28 Slovan Bratislava U19 3 1 0 2 2:11 3
29 Galatasaray U19 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
30 LASK Linz U19 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
31 Manchester City U19 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
32 RB Leipzig U19 3 0 1 2 4:12 1
33 Shakhtar U19 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
34 Fenerbahce U19 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
35 Sabah FC U19 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
36 Bodo/Glimt U19 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League (Play Offs)