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Atl. Madrid U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Castro O.
45' Event
Deda Y.
Assist: Pilaga M.
46'
Sub
Manrique I. In: Navarro Sole G. J.
Out: Manrique I.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 game between Atl. Madrid U19 and Qarabag Agdam U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atl. Madrid U19
15%
Draws
0%
Qarabag Agdam U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid U19 come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid U19 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atl. Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid U19 Qarabag Agdam U19
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 18 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.26 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 4.08
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Atl. Madrid U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19
0:1
Oct 18, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.97

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deda Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid U19 95 / 100
Qarabag Agdam U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid U19 Qarabag Agdam U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid U19 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Qarabag Agdam U19 has conceded goals in 92% of their last 12 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Qarabag Agdam U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid U19 VS Qarabag Agdam U19
2.88 Goals Scored 0.17
1 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Liverpool U19
2 : 2
Atl. Madrid U19
17 Mar
Atl. Madrid U19
0 : 4
Club Brugge U19
25 Feb
Atl. Madrid U19
2 : 1
Maccabi Haifa U19
04 Feb
Dynamo Kyiv U19
2 : 6
Atl. Madrid U19
09 Dec
PSV U19
3 : 1
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 7

Qarabag Agdam U19

(Away)
10 Dec
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 8
Ajax U19
25 Nov
Napoli U19
2 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
22 Oct
Ath Bilbao U19
3 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
01 Oct
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
FC Copenhagen U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basel U19 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
2 Manchester United U19 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
3 Benfica U19 6 1 4 1 10:8 7
4 CSKA Moscow U19 6 1 0 5 8:15 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 PSG U19 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Celtic U19 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
4 Anderlecht U19 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 0 1 17:7 15
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
3 AS Roma U19 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 5 1 0 12:1 16
2 Sporting CP U19 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
3 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
4 Juventus U19 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U19 6 5 0 1 18:3 15
2 Spartak Moscow U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
3 Sevilla U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
4 Maribor U19 6 1 0 5 2:14 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Feyenoord U19 6 2 3 1 11:8 9
3 Shakhtar U19 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 12:17 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 5 0 1 15:7 15
2 Monaco U19 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
3 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
4 Besiktas U19 6 1 1 4 5:16 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U19 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Real Madrid U19 6 3 1 2 21:10 10
3 Dortmund U19 6 3 0 3 14:12 9
4 APOEL U19 6 1 0 5 2:24 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)