Sport Picks

Spain

Copa del Rey 2025/2026 Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid

Atl. Madrid

4 - 0

Barcelona

Our Tip

Match Events

Garcia E.

Own Goal

14'

Griezmann A.

Assist: Molina N.

26'

Casado M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid in this Copa del Rey 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Atl. Madrid

15%

Draws

53%

Barcelona

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Barcelona lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Madrid.
Model gives Barcelona a 53% chance of winning this.
Barcelona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Barcelona, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Barcelona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atl. Madrid	Barcelona
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	14	26
Draws	3	1
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	1.74	2.81
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Champions League

Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona

1:2

Apr 8, 2026 Champions League

Barcelona vs Atl. Madrid

0:2

Apr 4, 2026 LaLiga

Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona

1:2

Mar 3, 2026 Copa del Rey

Barcelona vs Atl. Madrid

3:0

Feb 12, 2026 Copa del Rey

Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Griezmann A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lookman A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Barcelona Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55

Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid 10 / 100

Barcelona 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atl. Madrid Barcelona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Barcelona let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atl. Madrid went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid VS Barcelona

1.75 Goals Scored 4.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid

(Home)

20 Sept

Atl. Madrid

2 : 1

Real Madrid

16 Sept

Atl. Madrid

4 : 0

Osasuna

13 Sept

Real Sociedad

0 : 3

Atl. Madrid

09 Sept

Liverpool

2 : 1

Atl. Madrid

05 Sept

Ath Bilbao

3 : 0

Atl. Madrid

Page 1 of 7

Barcelona

(Away)

19 Sept

Sevilla

1 : 3

Barcelona

16 Sept

Barcelona

7 : 2

Racing Santander

13 Sept

Levante

2 : 4

Barcelona

09 Sept

Barcelona

5 : 1

Feyenoord

06 Sept

Valencia

0 : 5

Barcelona

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Mutilvera -

TBD -

Zaragoza -

Atletico Tordesillas -

TBD -

Burgos CF -

Navalcarnero -

TBD -

AD Merida -

Inter de Valdemoro 4

Univ. Julio Suarez 2

TBD -

Getafe -

Atletico Astorga -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Caudal Deportivo -

TBD -

Gijon -

Puente Genil -

TBD -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Sporting Ceuta 1

Maracena 3

TBD -

Valencia -

CD Tropezon -

TBD -

Leonesa -

Valle Egues -

TBD -

FC Andorra -

Ciudad Cieza -

TBD -

Cordoba -

Orihuela -

TBD -

Levante -

Ourense CF -

TBD -

Real Oviedo -

Constancia -

TBD -

Girona -

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete -

TBD -

Valladolid -

Deportivo Getxo 2

Betis Valladolid 1

TBD -

Alaves -

CD Extremadura -

TBD -

Las Palmas -

Toledo -

TBD -

Sevilla -

RSD Alcala -

TBD -

Tenerife -

Roda -

TBD -

Granada CF -

Real Avila -

TBD -

Real Aviles -

Campanario 0

CD Yuncos 2

TBD -

Rayo Vallecano -

Jaen -

TBD -

Eldense -

Lorca Deportiva -

TBD -

Almeria -

Reus FC Reddis -

TBD -

CE Europa -

Textil Escudo 2

SD Negreira 5

TBD -

Real Sociedad -

Langreo -

TBD -

Racing Club Ferrol -

Utebo FC -

TBD -

Huesca -

Ebro -

TBD -

Tarazona -

CD Sant Jordi 4

CD Lourdes 1

TBD -

Osasuna -

CD Azuaga -

TBD -

Leganes -

UD San Fernando -

TBD -

Albacete -

Sant Andreu -

TBD -

Teruel -

Puerto de Vega 5

CCD Alberite 1

TBD -

Celta Vigo -

Rayo Majadahonda -

TBD -

CF Talavera -

CD Estepona -

TBD -

Malaga -

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones -

TBD -

Ponferradina -

SD Logrones -

TBD -

Racing Santander -

Antoniano -

TBD -

Castellon -

Ciudad de Lucena -

TBD -

Villarreal -

Guadalajara -

TBD -

Cacereno -

La Union (Malacitano) -

TBD -

AD Ceuta -

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia -

TBD -

Antequera -

UCAM Murcia -

TBD -

Cadiz -

Torrent -

TBD -

Torremolinos -

Atletico Melilla 0

Atletico Palma del Rio 10

TBD -

Betis -

UD Ourense -

TBD -

Pontevedra -

Naxara -

TBD -

Eibar -

Quintanar del Rey -

TBD -

UD Ibiza -

Manises 2

UD Los Garres 4

TBD -

Elche -

UD Poblense -

TBD -

Sabadell -

UD Samano -

TBD -

Dep. A Coruna -

Numancia -

TBD -

Arenas Getxo -

Atletic Sant Just FC 7

Atletico Calatayud 1

TBD -

Mallorca -

Baleares -

TBD -

Gimnastic de Tarragona -

CE Atletic Lleida -

TBD -

Espanyol -

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/64-finals

Mutilvera 1

Zaragoza 3

Atletico Tordesillas 1

Burgos CF 2

Navalcarnero 2

AD Merida 1

Inter de Valdemoro 0

Getafe 11

Atletico Astorga 1

Mirandes 2

Caudal Deportivo 0

Gijon 1

Puente Genil 0

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Maracena 0

Valencia 5

CD Tropezon 1

Leonesa 3

Valle Egues 1

FC Andorra 5

Ciudad Cieza 1

Cordoba 0

Orihuela 3

Levante 4

Ourense CF 4

Real Oviedo 2

Constancia 2

Girona 3

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 1

Valladolid 0

Deportivo Getxo 0

Alaves 7

CD Extremadura 3

Las Palmas 1

Toledo 1

Sevilla 4

RSD Alcala 0

Tenerife 4

Roda 1

Granada CF 5

Real Avila 1

Real Aviles 0

CD Yuncos 1

Rayo Vallecano 6

Jaen 1

Eldense 3

Lorca Deportiva 0

Almeria 2

Reus FC Reddis 3

CE Europa 2

SD Negreira 0

Real Sociedad 3

Langreo 0

Racing Club Ferrol 1

Utebo FC 0

Huesca 3

Ebro 2

Tarazona 1

CD Sant Jordi 0

Osasuna 5

CD Azuaga 1

Leganes 4

UD San Fernando 0

Albacete 3

Sant Andreu 2

Teruel 1

Puerto de Vega 0

Celta Vigo 2

Rayo Majadahonda 1

CF Talavera 4

CD Estepona 1

Malaga 3

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones 1

Ponferradina 3

SD Logrones 0

Racing Santander 4

Antoniano 1

Castellon 0

Ciudad de Lucena 0

Villarreal 6

Guadalajara 2

Cacereno 1

La Union (Malacitano) 0

AD Ceuta 2

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 2

Antequera 1

UCAM Murcia 1

Cadiz 3

Torrent 3

Torremolinos 1

Atletico Palma del Rio 1

Betis 7

UD Ourense 1

Pontevedra 2

Naxara 2

Eibar 4

Quintanar del Rey 2

UD Ibiza 1

UD Los Garres 0

Elche 4

UD Poblense 1

Sabadell 2

UD Samano 1

Dep. A Coruna 5

Numancia 3

Arenas Getxo 0

Atletic Sant Just FC 0

Mallorca 2

Baleares 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona 0

CE Atletic Lleida 1

Espanyol 2

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/32-finals

Zaragoza 0

Burgos CF 1

Navalcarnero 2

Getafe 3

Mirandes 0

Gijon 2

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Valencia 2

Leonesa 4

FC Andorra 2

Ciudad Cieza 0

Levante 1

Ourense CF 2

Girona 1

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 0

Alaves 3

CD Extremadura 1

Sevilla 2

Tenerife 0

Granada CF 1

Real Avila 1

Rayo Vallecano 2

Eldense 2

Almeria 1

Reus FC Reddis 0

Real Sociedad 2

Racing Club Ferrol 0

Huesca 2

Ebro 3

Osasuna 5

Leganes 1

Albacete 2

Sant Andreu 1

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Malaga 1

TBD -

Real Madrid -

Ponferradina 1

Racing Santander 2

Antoniano 1

Villarreal 2

Guadalajara 1

AD Ceuta 0

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 3

Cadiz 2

Torrent 1

Betis 4

Pontevedra 0

Eibar 3

Quintanar del Rey 1

Elche 2

Sabadell 0

Dep. A Coruna 2

Numancia 2

Mallorca 3

Baleares 1

Espanyol 0

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/16-finals

Burgos CF 3

Getafe 1

Gijon 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 1

Levante 0

Ourense CF 0

Ath Bilbao 1

Alaves 1

Sevilla 0

Granada CF 1

Rayo Vallecano 3

Eldense 1

Real Sociedad 2

Huesca 2

Osasuna 4

Albacete 3

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Real Madrid 3

Racing Santander 2

Villarreal 1

Guadalajara 0

Barcelona 2

Murcia 0

Betis 2

Eibar 0

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 1

Mallorca 0

Baleares 2

Atl. Madrid 3

1/8-finals

Burgos CF 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 3

Ath Bilbao 4

Alaves 2

Rayo Vallecano 0

Real Sociedad 3

Osasuna 2

Albacete 3

Real Madrid 2

Racing Santander 0

Barcelona 2

Betis 2

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 0

Atl. Madrid 1

Quarter-finals

Albacete 1

Barcelona 2

Betis 0

Atl. Madrid 5

Valencia 1

Ath Bilbao 2

Alaves 2

Real Sociedad 3

Semi-finals

Barcelona 3

Atl. Madrid 4

Ath Bilbao 0

Real Sociedad 2

Final

Atl. Madrid 2

Real Sociedad 3

Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona

Spain

Atl. Madrid

Barcelona

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Atl. Madrid Compare

Barcelona Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid

Barcelona

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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