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Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Boe Risa V.
20'
Sub
Ortiz S. In: Saborido P.
Out: Ortiz S.
21'
Martin N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid W and Dep. A Coruna W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atl. Madrid W
17%
Draws
13%
Dep. A Coruna W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Dep. A Coruna W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:1
May 19, 2021 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boe Risa V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gio Garbelini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Dep. A Coruna W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 77 / 100
Dep. A Coruna W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Dep. A Coruna W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid W scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Madrid W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Dep. A Coruna W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629