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Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono Dux W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sarriegi A.
Assist: Iannuzzi F.
34' Event
Sarriegi A.
Assist: Jensen S.
40' Event
Sarriegi A.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atl. Madrid W
44%
Draws
20%
Logrono Dux W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than Logrono Dux W.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Logrono Dux W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Logrono Dux W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono Dux W
5:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:5
Jun 20, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:2
Nov 1, 2020 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono Dux W
2:0
Feb 2, 2020 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarriegi A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Iannuzzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Logrono Dux W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 36 / 100
Logrono Dux W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Logrono Dux W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logrono Dux W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Atl. Madrid W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Logrono Dux W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629