Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid W vs Manchester United W
Europe
Champions League Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares, Madrid 
Match Events
3'
3'
Terland E.
Assist: Malard M.
39'
39'
Malard M.
44'
44'
Sub
Lloris S. In: Perez X.
Out: Lloris S.
AI Match Summary
Manchester United W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Madrid W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atl. Madrid W haven't matched Manchester United W's recent run of results.
- Model gives Atl. Madrid W a 90% chance of winning this.
- Manchester United W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Manchester United W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Manchester United W have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2026 Champions League Women
Manchester United W vs Atl. Madrid W
2:0
Feb 12, 2026 Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Manchester United W
0:3
Oct 16, 2025 Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Manchester United W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Manchester United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Terland E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid W 85 / 100
Manchester United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid W Manchester United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Manchester United W let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Manchester United W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid W VS Manchester United W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid W
(Home) 31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
16 May
Barcelona W
3 : 1 Atl. Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0 Eibar W
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26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0 Eibar W
05 Apr
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 0 Dep. A Coruna W
14 Mar
Atl. Madrid W
5 : 0 Logrono Dux W
11 Mar
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
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Manchester United W
(Away) 16 May
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Manchester United W
02 May
Manchester United W
1 : 1 Brighton W
26 Apr
Tottenham W
0 : 0 Manchester United W
01 Apr
Bayern Munich W
2 : 1 Manchester United W
28 Mar
Manchester United W
0 : 3 Manchester City W
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16 May
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Manchester United W
26 Apr
Tottenham W
0 : 0 Manchester United W
01 Apr
Bayern Munich W
2 : 1 Manchester United W
18 Mar
West Ham W
0 : 0 Manchester United W
15 Mar
Chelsea W
2 : 0 Manchester United W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Atl. Madrid W0
Manchester United W5
TBD-
Bayern Munich W-
Paris FC W2
Real Madrid W5
TBD-
Barcelona W-
Leuven W1
Arsenal W7
TBD-
Chelsea W-
Wolfsburg W4
Juventus W2
TBD-
Lyon W-
Quarter-finals
Manchester United W3
Bayern Munich W5
Real Madrid W2
Barcelona W12
Arsenal W3
Chelsea W2
Wolfsburg W1
Lyon W4
Semi-finals
Bayern Munich W3
Barcelona W5
Arsenal W3
Lyon W4
Final
Barcelona W4
Lyon W0