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Atl. Madrid W vs Reocin W

Spain Spain

Primera Division Women 2011/2012 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid W play Reocin W in the Primera Division Women 2011/2012. Atl. Madrid W are favorites here. Recently, Atl. Madrid W averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Reocin W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Madrid W won 2, Reocin W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2012 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Atl. Madrid W and 1.25 for Reocin W. This points to a Atl. Madrid W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Atl. Madrid W
15%
Draws
10%
Reocin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid W picked up more points recently compared to Reocin W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 19%
Reocin W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Reocin W
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 27 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 27
Goals Scored 2.57 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Reocin W
4:0
Oct 30, 2011 Liga F Women
Reocin W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 71 / 100
Reocin W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Reocin W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atl. Madrid W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atl. Madrid W attacking → ← attacking Reocin W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid W scored in 83% of their last 46 games.

Reocin W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atl. Madrid W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Reocin W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

89 Points in last 5 5
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barcelona W343112119:1994
2Athletic Bilbao W342941118:2591
3Espanyol W342374117:3876
4Rayo Vallecano W34224890:4470
5Levante W341911463:2768
6Atl. Madrid W34205983:4165
7Real Sociedad W341951058:3562
8Huelva W341751251:4856
9Zaragoza CFF W341451572:7547
10San Gabriel W341141955:6637
11Llanos Olivenza W341051939:6635
12Collerense W34961954:9133
13Lagunak W34942133:7031
14Valencia W341012337:8331
15Estartit W34852135:7429
16Malaga W34652335:9123
17FVPR El Olivo W34542542:11219
18Reocin W34232930:1269