Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
4'
4'
Morelos A.
Assist: Sarmiento A.
26'
26'
Cardona E.
32'
32'
Parra N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cali.
- 27% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional taking it.
- Atl. Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Nacional, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional | Dep. Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
3:0
Aug 27, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
2:1
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Atl. Nacional
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
Oct 15, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Morelos A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Dep. Cali Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional 85 / 100
Dep. Cali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Nacional found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Dep. Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Atl. Nacional has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional VS Dep. Cali
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional
(Home) 26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Cali
(Away) 28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Inter Bogotá 2
Real Cundinamarca 1
Quindio 1
Llaneros 2
America De Cali 4
Dep. Pereira 1
Barranquilla -
Millonarios -
Atl. Nacional 3
Dep. Cali 0
Dep. Pasto 1
Ind. Medellin 4
Once Caldas 1
Alianza 0
TBD -
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. -
Quarter-finals
Inter Bogotá -
Llaneros -
America De Cali -
TBD -
Atl. Nacional -
Ind. Medellin -
Once Caldas -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
