Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional host Dep. Pereira in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Pereira have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Atl. Nacional have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.93. Head-to-head, Atl. Nacional have won 1 to Dep. Pereira's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.76) point toward Atl. Nacional. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pereira.
- Win probability leans Atl. Nacional's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional | Dep. Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Nacional's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dep. Pereira conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional
(Home)Dep. Pereira
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | 12 |
