Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Valencia J.
40' Event
Garcia S.
Assist: Tesillo W.
45' Event
Uribe M.
Assist: Rengifo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with Atl. Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atl. Nacional
6%
Draws
4%
Inter Bogotá
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional taking it.
  • Atl. Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atl. Nacional, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atl. Nacional here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional Inter Bogotá
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
7:1
May 9, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uribe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional 85 / 100
Inter Bogotá 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional Inter Bogotá

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Inter Bogotá's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Atl. Nacional stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional VS Inter Bogotá
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional

(Home)
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
18 Jul
Atl. Nacional
1 : 2
Dep. Tachira
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
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Inter Bogotá

(Away)
21 Jul
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
12 May
Atl. Nacional
7 : 1
Inter Bogotá
09 May
Inter Bogotá
1 : 2
Atl. Nacional
03 May
Santa Fe
3 : 1
Inter Bogotá
27 Apr
Inter Bogotá
4 : 0
Chico
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional9
Inter Bogotá2
Dep. Pasto0
Deportes Tolima3
Junior3
Once Caldas2
America De Cali1
Santa Fe5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional4
Deportes Tolima1
Junior2
Santa Fe1
Final
Atl. Nacional1
Junior3