Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Atl. Nacional Logo

Atl. Nacional

7 - 1
FT
Inter Bogotá Logo

Inter Bogotá

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Valencia J.
40' Event
Garcia S.
Assist: Tesillo W.
45' Event
Uribe M.
Assist: Rengifo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 7-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Atl. Nacional
20%
Draws
28%
Inter Bogotá
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional taking it.
  • Atl. Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atl. Nacional, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atl. Nacional here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional Inter Bogotá
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 1 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
2:3
May 12, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
7:1
May 9, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uribe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional 85 / 100
Inter Bogotá 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional Inter Bogotá

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Atl. Nacional has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atl. Nacional's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Inter Bogotá's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional VS Inter Bogotá
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional

(Home)
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5
Atl. Nacional
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

Inter Bogotá

(Away)
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
30 Aug
Millonarios
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional 9
Inter Bogotá 2
Dep. Pasto 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Junior 3
Once Caldas 2
America De Cali 1
Santa Fe 5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional 4
Deportes Tolima 1
Junior 2
Santa Fe 1
Final
Atl. Nacional 1
Junior 3