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Atl. Nacional W vs Cartagena W Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2018 game between Atl. Nacional W and Cartagena W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atl. Nacional W
15%
Draws
0%
Cartagena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional W come out ahead of Cartagena W on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagena W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Cartagena W
Matches Played 43 18
Wins 28 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.81 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2018 Liga Women
Cartagena W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:5
Feb 10, 2018 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Cartagena W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 85 / 100
Cartagena W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Cartagena W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 86% of their last 43 outings.

Cartagena W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cartagena W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 9

Cartagena W

(Away)
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
25 Apr
Cartagena W
1 : 3
Junior W
21 Mar
Union Magdalena W
4 : 0
Cartagena W
19 Mar
Cartagena W
0 : 5
Atl. Nacional W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 10 8 1 1 22:3 25
2 Deportes Tolima W 10 4 4 2 13:11 16
3 Alianza W 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
4 Cucuta W 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Bucaramanga W 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
6 Real San Andres W 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 8 1 1 37:6 25
2 Patriotas W 10 6 2 2 22:8 20
3 Fortaleza W 10 4 4 2 14:13 16
4 Inter Bogotá W 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
5 Bogota W 10 1 3 6 6:29 6
6 Dep. Pasto W 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Cali W 10 7 1 2 26:12 22
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 20:8 20
3 Deportivo Pereira W 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 Quindio W 10 3 3 4 21:20 12
5 Orsomarso W 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Atletico F.C. W 10 0 1 9 7:34 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
2 Union Magdalena W 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Envigado W 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
4 Junior W 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
5 Cartagena W 8 0 0 8 3:29 0
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)