Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
32'
32'
Ocampo L.
38'
38'
Cardenas V.
Assist: Viancha K.
41'
41'
Cobos L.
Assist: Hernandez N.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Atl. Nacional W and Dep. Cali W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Cali W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dep. Cali W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Cali W taking it.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Dep. Cali W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 19%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional W | Dep. Cali W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 39 |
| Wins | 23 | 27 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
4:0
Sep 16, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Corena J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dep. Cali W Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardenas V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cobos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional W 16 / 100
Dep. Cali W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional W Dep. Cali W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Dep. Cali W conceded in 49% of 39 recent games.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional W VS Dep. Cali W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional W
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
0 : 1 Millonarios W
01 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 4
Dep. Cali W
(Away) 26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1 America de Cali W
Page 1 of 8
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
09 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
26 Aug
America de Cali W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
