Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional W vs Fortaleza W
Colombia
Liga Women 2025 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
41'
41'
Medina M.
46'
46'
Sub
Cordoba S. In: Gonzalez M.
Out: Cordoba S.
46'
46'
Sub
Henao S. In: Aguirre L.
Out: Henao S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women 2025 game between Atl. Nacional W and Fortaleza W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Atl. Nacional W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional W | Fortaleza W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Fortaleza W
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Fortaleza W
1:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Fortaleza W Compare
Top Goalscorer Medina M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional W 95 / 100
Fortaleza W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional W Fortaleza W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Nacional W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Fortaleza W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional W VS Fortaleza W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional W
(Home) 24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
11 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 7
29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
12 Apr
Atl. Nacional W
5 : 0 Real Santander W
21 Mar
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Bucaramanga W
Page 1 of 4
Fortaleza W
(Away) 29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3 Millonarios W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
03 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 2 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
23 Apr
Inter Palmira W
3 : 1 Fortaleza W
29 Mar
Orsomarso W
1 : 1 Fortaleza W
10 Mar
Llaneros W
0 : 2 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35:7 | 38 |
| 2 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 22:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 6 | America de Cali W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:14 | 25 |
| 8 | Millonarios W | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 14:9 | 24 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 11 | Junior W | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21:37 | 14 |
| 12 | Real Santander W | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Alianza W | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:37 | 10 |
| 15 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12:37 | 10 |
| 16 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 5:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)