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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Quilmes 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bonifacio J.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Atl. Rafaela 2 and Quilmes 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rafaela 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atl. Rafaela 2
35%
Draws
35%
Quilmes 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Quilmes 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Rafaela 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Quilmes 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Quilmes 2
1:0
Mar 17, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonifacio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Quilmes 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 42 / 100
Quilmes 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Quilmes 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Quilmes 2 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atl. Rafaela 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Quilmes 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
20 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
13 Oct
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes 2

(Away)
21 Oct
Lanus 2
4 : 1
Quilmes 2
13 Oct
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
06 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
30 Sept
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
23 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Quilmes 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 14 6 6 2 17:5 24
2 Rosario Central 2 14 6 6 2 20:18 24
3 River Plate 2 14 5 8 1 23:14 23
4 Talleres Cordoba 2 14 6 5 3 16:11 23
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 14 6 4 4 14:12 22
6 San Lorenzo 2 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
7 Sarmiento Junin 2 14 4 7 3 13:10 19
8 Godoy Cruz 2 14 4 7 3 15:13 19
9 Instituto 2 14 4 7 3 19:19 19
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 14 3 8 3 18:14 17
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 14 4 5 5 13:10 17
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 14 4 5 5 10:14 17
13 Aldosivi 2 14 3 6 5 13:16 15
14 Tigre 2 14 4 3 7 16:22 15
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 14 3 5 6 9:14 14
16 Racing Club 2 14 2 7 5 21:27 13
17 Banfield 2 14 3 3 8 12:24 12
18 Barracas Central 2 14 1 7 6 10:21 10
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 14 10 3 1 30:10 33
2 Lanus 2 14 9 3 2 31:18 30
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 14 8 2 4 25:14 26
4 Estudiantes L.P. 2 14 7 4 3 25:15 25
5 Boca Juniors 2 14 7 4 3 17:9 25
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 14 7 4 3 21:20 25
7 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 14 6 6 2 15:10 24
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 14 5 6 3 16:16 21
9 Huracan 2 14 6 2 6 15:13 20
10 Newells Old Boys 2 14 4 6 4 17:14 18
11 Quilmes 2 14 4 5 5 12:15 17
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 14 3 7 4 20:20 16
13 Ind. Rivadavia 2 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
14 San Martin S.J. 2 14 3 4 7 13:24 13
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 14 3 3 8 12:24 12
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 14 3 2 9 10:21 11
17 Platense 2 14 0 7 7 7:18 7
18 Ferro 2 14 1 3 10 9:26 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)