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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 Logo

Atl. Rafaela 2

0 - 1
FT
Sarmiento Junin 2 Logo

Sarmiento Junin 2

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Girotti L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Junin 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atl. Rafaela 2
30%
Draws
23%
Sarmiento Junin 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Atl. Rafaela 2 at 1.21 per game, Sarmiento Junin 2 at 0.93.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Sarmiento Junin 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:1
Apr 22, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Girotti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 41 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Sarmiento Junin 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Rafaela 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Rafaela 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Sarmiento Junin 2 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Atl. Rafaela 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Sarmiento Junin 2
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Away)
01 Oct
River Plate 2
1 : 0
Sarmiento Junin 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
01 Sept
Argentinos Jrs 2
1 : 1
Sarmiento Junin 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)