Sport Picks
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 
Match Events
1'
1'
Quintana A.
25'
25'
Garcia M.
Own Goal
41'
41'
Alvarez F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Atl. Rafaela and Atletico Atlanta finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Atlanta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Atlanta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Atlanta come out ahead of Atl. Rafaela on wins alone.
- 69% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Atlanta taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 22%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Rafaela | Atletico Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
2:3
May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
2:0
May 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Jun 25, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Quiroga M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Atletico Atlanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rivero B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Rafaela 16 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Rafaela Atletico Atlanta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Atl. Rafaela scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Atletico Atlanta has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Atl. Rafaela went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Rafaela VS Atletico Atlanta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Rafaela
(Home) 04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
14 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Atlanta
(Away) 04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27:30 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28:38 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:35 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24:33 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
