Sport Picks
Atl. Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 
Match Events
17'
17'
Albertengo L.
Assist: Quiroga M.
19'
19'
Losas F.
46'
46'
Sub
Duran D. In: Bustos L.
Out: Duran D.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Atl. Rafaela and Chacarita Juniors finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rafaela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chacarita Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chacarita Juniors haven't matched Atl. Rafaela's recent run of results.
- Chacarita Juniors are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 19%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Rafaela | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Atl. Rafaela
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors
1:1
Jun 2, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Atl. Rafaela
3:0
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Atl. Rafaela
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Albertengo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Chacarita Juniors Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Rafaela 24 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Rafaela Chacarita Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chacarita Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chacarita Juniors let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Chacarita Juniors has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Atl. Rafaela's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Rafaela VS Chacarita Juniors
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Rafaela
(Home) 10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
14 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 3
Chacarita Juniors
(Away) 10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0 Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
