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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Genilson
46' Event
Reina N.
62' Event
Joao Cardoso

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and Gremio Atletico Sampaio finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
33%
Draws
40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Atletico Sampaio come out ahead of Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Atletico Sampaio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Roraimense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gremio Atletico Sampaio have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 32 50
Wins 7 27
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 3 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:4
Apr 20, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6:2
Mar 28, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
5:1
May 18, 2021 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Genilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reina N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 28 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio let in goals in 72% of their last 50 matches.

Away concern: Gremio Atletico Sampaio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)'s goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192