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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and Progresso finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
39%
Draws
31%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 20%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Progresso
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 26
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:1
Feb 26, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso
0:0
Apr 24, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso
6:0
May 13, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 31 / 100
Progresso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Progresso conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Progresso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Progresso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Progresso

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)