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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Jhone
52'
Vasconcelos C.
56' Event
Sa Carlos
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2024 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and Progresso finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
39%
Draws
31%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Progresso haven't matched Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)'s recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Roraimense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 20%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Progresso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:1
Feb 26, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso
0:0
Apr 24, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Progresso
6:0
May 13, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhone
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcildo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 31 / 100
Progresso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Progresso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Progresso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Progresso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR532019:311
2Nautico FC523011:39
3Atl. Roraima52036:156
4Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)51049:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio422014:48
2Monte Roraima42116:37
3River Esporte Clube42119:67
4Real Sao Luiz41124:54
5Progresso40040:270